Two sets of Americans have come here to
talk global warming: the United States, opposed to controls on
carbon emissions, and a bloc of united states, from Maine to
Delaware, that plan to impose them.
"It's not an in-your-face thing,"
Kenneth Colburn, leading the nine-state effort, said of the seeming
defiance of the Bush administration. "They're doing what they think
needs to be done."
That may even include linking up with
the Europeans in a backdoor trading scheme on emissions — although a
key Republican says that would meet a "lot of skepticism" in
Congress.
The American by-play is taking place at
the annual U.N. conference on climate change, where delegates from
scores of nations are filling in last-minute details on the Kyoto
Protocol (
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Feb. 16 requiring 30 industrial nations to reduce, by 2012,
emissions of "greenhouse gases" that scientists blame for global
warming.
The biggest pollutant is carbon dioxide,
byproduct of fossil fuel burning by automobile engines, power plants
and other industrial operations.
The United States is not among the 30.
The Bush administration has rejected Kyoto, protesting that it would
damage the U.S. economy and that it should also cover poorer
nations, such as China and India.
But in the pyramid of powers called the
U.S. federation, there were other ideas.
"The United States is `states' with an
`s,'" said Fred Butler, a New Jersey public utilities commissioner
here for the U.N. conference. The 50 states are 50 "laboratories of
ideas," he said.
More than two dozen U.S. states have
taken action individually to reduce carbon dioxide emissions, by
ordering cuts in power-plant emissions, for example, and limiting
state government purchases of fuel-inefficient sport utility
vehicles.
Most significantly, California
regulators last September ordered the auto industry to trim exhaust
levels on cars and light trucks in the state by 25 percent before
2016. Other states may follow if California's move survives a court
challenge.
In the U.S. Northeast, New York Gov.
George Pataki, a Republican, in April 2003 invited other states to
develop a regional plan for "cap and trade" on power-plant emissions
of carbon dioxide — a system whereby plants that don't use up their
reduced quotas of emissions can sell "offsets," or credits, to other
companies that overshoot their allowances.
Under an existing consortium, the
Northeast States for Coordinated Air Use Management, eight other
states joined in: Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts,
Rhode Island, Connecticut, New Jersey and Delaware. Four have
Republican governors, four Democratic. Combined, they account for 14
percent of U.S. carbon emissions.
A proposed design for the system is
expected next April, and the states may be trading carbon emission
credits in two or three years, said Colburn, executive director of
the Boston-based consortium. "It's a question of `when,' not `if,'"
he said.
Although the governors want to help ease
climate change, there's a host of other environmental, health and
economic motivations, Colburn said.
For one thing, New York is seeing London
take the lead in "carbon trading," which may balloon into a
multibillion-dollar market. "We're missing out on this economic
opportunity," he said.
The 25-nation European Union (
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web sites) launches its own carbon-trading
system on Jan. 1, and it has left the door open for outside
participants, a possibility the U.S. states are examining.
"I don't see why our own individual
power plants couldn't register and purchase allowances in the
European system," Colburn said.
The head of the Bush administration
delegation to the climate talks was asked about such a merger of
U.S. and European markets. "We haven't had an opportunity yet to
analyze and look at such proposals — what it would mean for U.S. law
and international law," replied Paula Dobriansky, an undersecretary
of state.
Republican congressman Joe Barton was
less noncommittal.
Any international compact involving
state governments would have to be approved by Congress, said the
Texas lawmaker, chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Committee.
"We would tend to look at it with a lot
of skepticism," he said.
But Colburn questioned the need for
federal authorization, saying any trans-Atlantic trades would be
pure commercial transactions, not government-to-government. In some
states the plan won't even need legislative approval, but could be
enacted via executive regulations, he said.
The list of trading states may grow.
Washington, Oregon and California, jointly developing plans to
control carbon dioxide, are studying the possibility of carbon
trading. And next-door Canada, which like the European Union has
ratified the Kyoto Protocol, may be yet another natural
partner.