Global warming is already affecting North American species and
could cause major shifts in ecosystems across the continent,
according to new research by U.S. wildlife experts. Caribou, polar
bears, migratory songbirds, waterfowl and alpine amphibians are
among the North American species that have already responded to
global warming by shifting habitats, altering breeding patterns, or
rerouting their migrations.
Sustained and broad changes in wildlife behavior due to climate
change will cause the restructuring of entire plant and animal
communities, the researchers said, and could result in the
disappearance of some forest types.
The study, produced by The Wildlife Society, a 9,000 member
association of wildlife professionals, is the first comprehensive
analysis of global warming's impact on North American wildlife.
It adds to a growing body of scientific work that suggests global
warming may be the leading threat to biodiversity.
A study by the Center for Applied Biodiversity Science at
Conservation International, published last January in the journal
"Nature," predicted climate change could drive more than a quarter
of all land animals and plants into extinction. 
Warmer spring temperatures have had a negative impact on
migrating caribou in Alaska. (Photo by Jon Nickles courtesy
U.S.
Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS))
Last month
Arctic experts warned that a range of Arctic species - including
polar bears and some seal species - will likely go extinct if global
warming continues unabated.
And a report released Tuesday by WWF, the global conservation
organization, says many researchers may have underestimated the risk
climate change poses to species because they failed to analyze the
impact of extreme weather events.
The new study on North American wildlife also spells out a dire
warning, said Douglas Inkley, an ecologist with the National
Wildlife Federation and chair of the eight person committee that
wrote the report.
"We face the prospect that the world of wildlife that we now know
- and many of the places we have invested decades of work in
conserving as refuges and habitats for wildlife - will cease to
exist as we know them, unless we change this forecast," Inkley said.
Climate change will affect the habitat conditions of virtually
every species - either directly or indirectly, the report says,
predicting that as temperatures increase, the ranges of habitats and
the wildlife that depend on them will shift northward in search of
cooler areas.
If development and habitat destruction have already altered the
more northerly areas, the species often have no safe haven.
Some species are unlikely to survive because their ability to
make this shift will be inhibited by migratory pathways, pollinator
availability and the concurrent movement of forage and prey. 
Many wood warblers have shifted their ranges north in the past
two decades. (Photo courtesy FWS)
Changes to individual
species will ripple across ecosystems, the report said.
"The case of a pollinator bird being able to make the range shift
while the plant it pollinates cannot may be replicated in
innumerable interdependent relationships, leaving us a world of
wildlife diminished beyond our current capacity of prediction,"
Inkley explained.
Rising temperatures will further disrupt essential ecological
processes, displace or wipe out coastal wetlands species, decrease
coastal marshes, and disrupt alpine and Arctic ecosystems, the
report details.
In the Prairie Pothole Region from northern Iowa to central
Alberta - the duck factory of North America - "most scenarios and
models projected significant declines in wetlands, and thus declines
in the abundance of breeding ducks in this region by the 2080s."
Some species will benefit at the cost of others.
For example, the dominant pine and hardwood forests found in the
southeastern United States are projected to expand northward.
The conifer forests of New England and much of the Northeast are
expected to change to temperate deciduous forests similar to those
today found in southeastern Pennsylvania and northern Virginia.
"Some forest species such as sugar maple are projected to
disappear entirely from the United States over the next century,"
according to the study.
Projected sea level rise due to global climate change may cause
some wildlife species to be displaced inland or disappear entirely
if their lowland wetlands are rapidly inundated, the wildlife
experts said.
"Critical mudflats used by migratory shorebirds" may be flooded,
and "submergence of coastal marshes is expected to be most severe
along the U.S. Gulf and Atlantic coasts." 
Climate change is expected to diminish wetlands in the Prairie
Pothole Region, causing a decline in breeding ducks. (Photo
courtesy Fish and Wildlife Service)
Even
limited warming could doom some wetland plant and animal species in
alpine regions, because there is little opportunity for these
species to disperse among their isolated habitats.
In areas where warming is greatest, "changes in forest dynamics
due to disease and insects are very likely," said the report, which
points out that rapid Arctic warming in the mid-1990s coincided with
a massive outbreak of spruce bark beetles.
Understanding how the changing climate will affect species could
prove critical to wildlife conservation efforts.
"Wildlife managers can enhance a species' ability to withstand
global climate change by ensuring widespread habitat availability
and managing for self-sustaining populations," the report
recommends.
Based on the study, The Wildlife Society said it would consider
adopting formal policy recommendations at its March meeting.
In draft form, those recommendations now include measures such as
reduction of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gas emissions and
that state and federal wildlife agencies consider climate change in
developing long range wildlife management plans and strategies.
"Decades of conservation progress and our responsibility to
assure a wildlife legacy for future generations rest upon our
determination to overcome this threat," Inkley
said.